Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 340

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 340

  •   15 January 2020
  • 1
  •      
  •   

Companies hit by technology disruptions from competitors often face tough decisions hanging on to customers. It's why investment analysts look for strong 'economic moats' in the best companies. For example, Morningstar's definition is:

"An economic moat is a structural feature that allows a firm to sustain excess profits over a long period of time. Without a moat, profits are more susceptible to competition."

Technology can destroy moats, and it's happening to Foxtel. Two years ago, I was paying Telstra $238 a month in a bundle for high-speed broadband and Foxtel. Realising we did not watch many channels, we separated Foxtel and reduced the channels, paying $113 to Foxtel alone. With the growth of streaming services such as Stan and Netflix costing $10 to $14 a month, and sport on Kayo for $25, our Foxtel cost was too high. Worse, Foxtel was offering new subscribers the service we wanted for $58 a month.

In calls to Foxtel asking for the $58 rate, we were reminded we had been "loyal for 19 years" but we were told the $58 rate was only for new customers. How do we become a new customer? By returning all the Foxtel equipment at their cost, waiting 30 days, then they would post the equipment back to us and we could go on the $58 rate. So that's one strategy to retain customers.

Foxtel's 'churn' rose to 14.4% in 2019 versus 12.9% the previous year, and parent News Corp has lent it $700 million as the losses build. We have realised the streaming services and free channels on chromecast meet our needs.

Foxtel's business decision is the same reason banks offer worse home loan and deposit rates to existing customers, and inertia pays off for a while. However, it's possible that the new flexibility of Open Banking will do to the incumbent banks what streaming has done to Foxtel. A moat is a moat until it leaks.

There are few greater changes in our lives than the smartphone, and on the just-passed anniversary of Steve Jobs launching the first iphone on 9 January 2007, it's fascinating to see how far we have come in only a dozen years. Said Jobs at the launch:

"Every once in a while, a revolutionary product comes along that changes everything ... today, we’re introducing three revolutionary products of this class ... an iPod, a phone, and an internet communicator. Are you getting it? These are not three separate devices, this is one device, and we are calling it iPhone."

These early Apple launches were like religious events, and they destroyed competitors. No doubt Nokia once had a moat. As the following chart from Statista on smartphone shipments shows, Apple's ongoing success comes not from dominating sales, but its remarkable ecosystem and quality that commands a price premium.

In this week's edition ...

In a year when many funds delivered stellar results, geared funds are near the top of 2019 league tables. We explain how this was achieved, but warn about the asymmetry of results. For those tempted to borrow to invest in shares, Roger Montgomery describes his optimistic assessment of the market.

Given the confidence sweeping global equity markets, many at all-time highs, it's surprising to read Louise Watson's report on new research into attitudes of large investors. Their pessimism includes a majority expecting GFC-like conditions within a few years.

Over many years, state and national governments have introduced a wide range of benefits for retirees, but as Brendan Ryan says, not many people tap into them fully. See his enticing list of 20 opportunities.

Bank hybrids are a highly-popular alternative to term deposits despite the added risk, and Norman Derham provides a simple way to measure the yield pick up and whether the risk is worth it.

Rob Garnsworthy was a senior wealth executive at the top of the industry, but now long-retired, he admits he has turned from poacher to gamekeeper in his attitude to investing.

If you want to give to bushfire victims but are wondering if the money will be used properly, philanthropy expert Antonia Ruffell provides a list of charities and activities with strong bona fides.

This week's White Paper from BetaShares is the 2019 review of the Australian Exchange Traded Fund (ETF) market, reaching a remarkable $62 billion with 52% growth in only one year.

 

Graham Hand, Managing Editor

For a PDF version of this week’s newsletter articles, click here.

 

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Are term deposits attractive right now?

If you’re like me, you may have put money into term deposits over the past year and it’s time to decide whether to roll them over or look elsewhere. Here are the pros and cons of cash versus other assets right now.

Where Baby Boomer wealth will end up

By 2028, all Baby Boomers will be eligible for retirement and the Baby Boomer bubble will have all but deflated. Where will this generation's money end up, and what are the implications for the wealth management industry?

Uncomfortable truths: The real cost of living in retirement

How useful are the retirement savings and spending targets put out by various groups such as ASFA? Not very, and it's reducing the ability of ordinary retirees to fully understand their retirement income options.

How retiree spending plummets as we age

There's been little debate on how spending changes as people progress through retirement. Yet, it's a critical issue as it can have a significant impact on the level of savings required at the point of retirement.

Is Australia ready for its population growth over the next decade?

Australia will have 3.7 million more people in a decade's time, though the growth won't be evenly distributed. Over 85s will see the fastest growth, while the number of younger people will barely rise. 

20 US stocks to buy and hold forever

Recently, I compiled a list of ASX stocks that you could buy and hold forever. Here’s a follow-up list of US stocks that you could own indefinitely, including well-known names like Microsoft, as well as lesser-known gems.

Latest Updates

Property

Financial pathways to buying a home require planning

In the six months of my battle with brain cancer, one part of financial markets has fascinated me, and it’s probably not what you think. What's led the pages of my reading is real estate, especially residential.

Meg on SMSFs: $3 million super tax coming whether we’re ready or not

A Senate Committee reported back last week with a majority recommendation to pass the $3 million super tax unaltered. It seems that the tax is coming, and this is what those affected should be doing now to prepare for it.

Economy

Household spending falls as higher costs bite

Shoppers are cutting back spending at supermarkets, gyms, and bakeries to cope with soaring insurance and education costs as household spending continues to slump. Renters especially are feeling the pinch.

Shares

Who gets the gold stars this bank reporting season?

The recent bank reporting season saw all the major banks report solid results, large share buybacks, and very low bad debts. Here's a look at the main themes from the results, and the winners and losers.

Shares

Small caps v large caps: Don’t be penny wise but pound foolish

What is the catalyst for smalls caps to start outperforming their larger counterparts? Cheap relative valuation is bullish though it isn't a catalyst, so what else could drive a long-awaited turnaround?

Financial planning

Estate planning made simple, Part II

'Putting your affairs in order' is a term that is commonly used when people are approaching the end of their life. It is not as easy as it sounds, though it should not overwhelming, or consume all of your spare time.

Financial planning

Where Baby Boomer wealth will end up

By 2028, all Baby Boomers will be eligible for retirement and the Baby Boomer bubble will have all but deflated. Where will this generation's money end up, and what are the implications for the wealth management industry?

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2024 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.