Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 164

Bond indexes don't reflect market diversity

Superannuation funds generally benchmark their domestic fixed income asset allocation against a market capitalisation weighted investment grade bond index such as the S&P/ASX Australian Fixed Interest Index or the Bloomberg Composite Ausbond Index. Bonds are included in these indices if they meet certain criteria (such as Australian dollar denominated, fixed rate, minimum issue size, investment grade rating) and are weighted in proportion to their market value.

Index is heavily concentrated and unrepresentative

Diving into the S&P fixed interest index, the top 10 issuers are either Commonwealth or state governments or European development banks. The largest non-government issuer is KfW (Kreditanstalt für Wiederaufbau), a German development bank.

The top 10 issuers comprise 83% of the index. The total index has a modified duration of 5.2 years and a yield to maturity of 2.14% (at time of writing). Investors might be surprised that no Australian company (for example, any of the big four banks) makes the top 10, while Australian governments occupy the top five positions.

By comparison, the top 10 issuers in the S&P/ASX 200 equity index account for only 48% of the total market value, and even this is concentrated by global equity index standards.

 There are approximately $650 billion worth of government bonds and $500 billion of non-government bonds on issue in Australia. About a third of the Australian non-government bond universe is comprised of bonds issued by non-residents, rising dramatically from last to the largest share in the last 15 years, pausing slightly during the GFC (but nowhere near as much as asset-backed securities).

The next biggest category is financials, which is dominated by the bonds of the big four banks.

Only about $50 billion are comprised of domestic non-financial corporates. That is, only about 10% of non-government bonds are what you would typically consider Australian corporate credit.

This is tiny when compared with the loan market. According to APRA data, Australian banks have loans to Australian non-financial corporates of more than $650 billion.

Traditional composite bond funds are meant to provide investors with a balanced exposure across borrower types. Investors should understand the components of any fixed interest index and judge how representative of the desired underlying investment universe the index really is.

 

Alexander Austin is Chief Executive Officer of Infradebt, a specialist infrastructure debt fund manager. This article provides general information and does not constitute personal advice.

 

  •   14 July 2016
  • 1
  •      
  •   
banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, 2025 edition

Two years ago, I wrote an article suggesting that the odds favoured ASX shares easily outperforming residential property over the next decade. Here’s an update on where things stand today.

Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Property versus shares - a practical guide for investors

I’ve been comparing property and shares for decades and while both have their place, the differences are stark. When tax, costs, and liquidity are weighed, property looks less compelling than its reputation suggests.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

Latest Updates

Economy

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

Superannuation

No, Division 296 does not tax franking credits twice

Claims that Division 296 double-taxes franking credits misunderstand imputation: franking credits are SMSF income, not company tax, and ensure earnings are taxed once at the correct rate.

Investment strategies

Who will get left holding the banks?

For the first time in decades, the Big 4 banks have real competition in home loans. Macquarie is quickly gain market share, which threatens both the earnings and dividends of the major banks in the years ahead.

Investment strategies

AI economic scenarios: revolutionary growth, or recessionary bubble?

Investor focus is turning increasingly to AI-related risks: is it a bubble about to burst, tipping the US into recession? Or is it the onset of a third industrial revolution? And what would either scenario mean for markets?

Investment strategies

The long-term case for compounders

Cyclical stocks surge in upswings but falter in downturns. Compounders - reliable, scalable, resilient businesses - offer smoother, superior returns over the full investment cycle for patient investors.

Property

AREITs are not as passive as you may think

A-REITs are often viewed as passive rental vehicles, but today’s index tells a different story. Development and funds management now dominate earnings, materially increasing volatility and risk for the sector.

Australia’s quiet dairy boom — and the investment opportunity

Dairy farming offers real asset exposure, steady income and long-term growth, yet remains overlooked by investors seeking diversification beyond traditional asset classes.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2026 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.