In one month, on 9 May 2023, Treasurer Jim Chalmers will deliver the Federal Budget for 2023/24. Early hints give a focus on fiscal consolidation and inequality, but what do those words mean? Does the Treasurer's 'values-based capitalism' suggest a reforming agenda is coming, or will politics intervene? And if Jamie Dimon and Tim Congdon are right, we need to prepare for storm clouds.