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Edition: 58

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Edition 58

  • 17 April 2014

Demographics, the ageing population and adverse impacts on economic growth, don't overlook risk in portfolios, bonds and inflation risk and pension reform.

The ‘new normal’ and demographic change

Using interactive graphics, we can model the impact of changing demographics on economic growth for all major countries. Will lower growth become the 'new normal' due to an ageing population?

Mind the (expectations) gap: demographic trends and GDP

If we expect government policies to deliver implausible growth when a demographic tailwind has become a headwind, we'll have temporary ‘growth’ with debt-financed consumption, with longer term adverse consequences.

Think about risks as well as returns

We focus far more on the return from our investments rather than the risk, and we should watch for leverage or high risk-taking and expect to be rewarded for it to pay for the added risk.

Bonds have a role in managing inflation risks

Investors should not shun bonds in their portfolios due to a misunderstanding about the potential for earnings to grow at least in line with inflation. Fixed income has a role in inflation risk management.

Age pension reform: income taper change is unlikely

Tapering is the rate at which pensions reduce as other sources of income increase. A change is unlikely to make it onto Joe Hockey's list of pensions amendments in the upcoming budget.

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3 ways to defuse intergenerational anger

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Navigating the next stage of life in retirement

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