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The five-act future if we knew we’d live to 100

Recently I attended a conference in Cortona, Italy. It was on aspects of The New Map of Life™. Those two simple sentences conceal a lot!

The conference was put together by Russ Hill, the founder of the International Center for Wealth Advisory Excellence (or ICWAE for short: pronounce it as if it’s the start of “I see way into the future”), a learning group affiliated with Stanford University. Russ is also the Chairman of the Advisory Council of the Stanford Center on Longevity. A week before the conference’s start date, the facilitator and some presenters got Covid, and so Russ made the difficult decision to cancel the conference. Some of us, however, had already scheduled vacations around the conference, so we showed up anyway. And amazingly Russ promptly reorganised the event, and 10 of us had a day and a half of discussions that were much more intensive and personal than usual because our group was so small – an unexpected benefit.

The theme was The New Map of Life™ (NMOL, from now on) and its potential influence on the future of wealth management. That won’t mean anything to you, so let me explain.

Learn to pace life differently

It started with a 2011 book, A Long Bright Future, by Dr Laura Carstensen. Laura is the Founding Director of the Stanford Center on Longevity (among many other offices of distinction). Among several ideas she put forward in the book was one about pacing our lives differently.

Our lives seem to divide into learn-work-retire (or learn-earn-burn, as it’s sometimes referred to). If we knew we were likely to live to 100 (something today’s newborns can anticipate), surely we wouldn’t just add the additional years to the retirement stage. It would be far more productive if instead we divide it into many more flexible stages, diffusing work across the lifespan. That would have the additional effect of departing from today’s age-segregated society (the young study, the middle-aged work, and the old volunteer or rest), and instead make it easier for generations to interact and for anyone, of any age, to find a better balance between families, work, community and educational opportunities.

Future life as a five-act play

In Act 1 ('The Show Begins') – this appealed to me, given my professional background – we start a retirement savings account, at birth. More importantly, we encourage continuing education while the brain and emotional maturity are growing, until roughly age 25. Let the adolescent mind learn and explore, incorporating opportunities for travel, community service and interning.

In Act 2 ('The Action Builds') education continues. We work part-time, trying out more than one job before settling on an employer, perhaps around age 40. This gives us the chance to raise a family in a shared, loving experience. Those who choose not to have a family can continue to learn about life, the world, and work.

In Act 3 ('Taking Center Stage') our minds are already well shaped by life and work experience, and now we skillfully practice the trade we have chosen. This is where we shift from primarily consuming resources to providing them. Sabbaticals enable us to continue to learn or to do community service.

Act 4 ('The Turning Point') would continue until perhaps age 80 (yes, 80!). Before then, we would wind down our working careers gradually, perhaps with an 'encore career' for a second, deeply personal stage of work life. Perhaps it involves satisfying community needs.

After this 'autumn crescendo' (what a lovely phrase!) we enter Act 5 ('Resolution'). We have paid our debts to society, raised our family, and are ready to enter a life phase in which we do whatever we want.

***

The Stanford Center on Longevity now has research fellows and faculty advisors devoted to Laura’s ideas, and prepared an initial report in November 2021 (use the link at the start of this post).

10 principles for a fulfilled life

From it I have extracted the following 10 principles:

  1. Make the Most of the 100-Year Opportunity: We are optimists, not dreamers. The NMOL is rigorously grounded in science, driven by pragmatism and seasoned with imagination.
  2. Invest in Future Centenarians to Deliver Big Returns: “Aging society” narratives portray the later decades of life as a period marked by vulnerability and dependence.
  3. Align Health Spans to Life Spans: While median life spans have increased dramatically over the past century, our health spans – defined as the years in which people are healthy, mobile, mentally sharp, and free of pain – have not kept pace.
  4. Prepare to be Amazed by the Future of Aging: Today’s 5-year-olds will benefit from an astonishing array of medical advances and emerging technologies that will make their experience of aging far different from that of today’s older adults.
  5. Life Transitions are a Feature, Not a Bug: While the conventional life course is a one-way road through pre-scripted stages, our new map features roads with forks, which take us in many directions through the roles, opportunities, and obligations that 100-year lives will bring.
  6. Learn Throughout Life: Given the strong links among education, health and longevity, the NMOL calls for innovation and more flexible options in our education.
  7. Work More Years with More Flexibility: Over the course of 100-year lives, we can expect to work 60 years or more.
  8. Build Financial Security from the Start: Financing 100-year lives requires new pathways for working, saving, and retiring.
  9. Age Diversity is a Net Positive: Never before in human history have so many generations been alive at the same time, creating opportunities for intergenerational connection that have until now been impossible.
  10. Build Longevity-Ready Communities: As a nation, we must start now to design and build neighborhoods that are longevity-ready.

How exactly will these ideas affect our day-to-day lives? We just don’t know, today. Chances are that changes will come gradually and in small pieces and in an uncoordinated fashion. Our group tried to anticipate what changes would mean for wealth advisory firms and the industry as a whole. My own focus will be on how individuals can fund actionable ideas that can improve their lives today, regardless of wealth.

This conference was intended as a first exposure to these ideas about the future. That was exciting in itself: conferences typically focus on today’s issues and problems, but being there gave the 10 of us a head start. Let’s see what we can do with it.

If we knew we’d live to 100, we’d pace life differently, our life’s path would have on-ramps and off-ramps and more interaction across the generations.

 

Don Ezra, now retired, is the former Co-Chairman of global consulting for Russell Investments worldwide, and the author of “Life Two: how to get to and enjoy what used to be called retirement”. This article is general information and does not consider the circumstances of any investor.

 

14 Comments
Gail
July 16, 2022

Great idea and one that I have basically followed in my lifetime. I just set the end date at around 85 though. Parents started a savings account at their children's birth and ensured we got a good education. I contributed to Super from the first day of work and had a regular saving plan of at least 10% of my income. Worked hard and income grew over the years, invested in growth assets (which keep pace with inflation). I never saw any reason to wait until 60 to take time off, so I took overseas holidays every year - sometimes lived and worked overseas for a year at a time. I never married though and have no children - Mr. Right never came along! Retired early at 57 and am free to do anything I want. It can be done but it requires planning, discipline and focus.

Fireflier
July 16, 2022

Don, Thank you for sharing your insights and group conversations from revised conference. It takes great minds to jump off the hamster wheel of work grind to consider other realities and to step outside the frame of religious, social and family conformity. Visioning future possibilities is an important part of bringing the future to the here and now for action. Pity some lack the foresight to see this emerging reality.

I agree starting a lifelong retirement plan from birth is important part of funding longer lifespans. One that I have already suggested to the ATO! A social plan from cradle to the grave approach is needed to pace life. Ideally options for young people to equip themselves for future life, family and/or social responsibility are needed. Options for young people in their 20’s and early 30’s could include burning the candle at both ends to gain experience and accumulate wealth to be able to later afford raising a family and/or exploring new directions in expanding fields going into their 30’s, 40’s, 50’s as occurs in FIRE community. Perhaps the norm for automated future work will only be available as part-time for employees/contractors, yet business owners may choose to work full-time.

Housing affordability may be relieved by funding to expand housing capacity on existing blocks to accommodate intergenerational families, such as has occurred in Japan for decades, along with timeframes for paying off the home loan over several generations. Hence lowering the cost of living and infrastructure costs. The main draw back is that some family members may choose to not live together due capacity, dysfunction, abuse/violence, and more low cost public/social housing is needed at 10% per city/town housing stock.

The uncertainty of living in a changing social, political and environmental world along with changing perceptions of time/money/resources requires back up social support system with living wage, housing security and access to employment and health care. People less able to monetize their skills and/or social engagement in society to care for themselves and their family need social system. Also, the impact of environmental refugees migration internally and externally requires a social plan to assist people re-integrate and recover from their displacement into new safer areas.

Yes, there are many issues that can be seen now and many more unseen issues that need the quite contemplation and reflection to consider how we as a society respond and plan for these expected and unexpected events. How we look after our society now and into the future is a reflection of our humanity and whether we will survive as a species on earth…

Trevor
July 15, 2022

Don......You start encouragingly with a 'scientific fact'.... that the human brain takes about 25 years to mature ! "More importantly, we encourage continuing education while the brain and emotional maturity are growing, until roughly age 25. Let the adolescent mind learn and explore, incorporating opportunities for travel, community service and interning." Thoroughly admirable thoughts and aims Don ! .However , THIS is where all that 'high-falutin' theory ' fails ......and "falls into a great gooey heap" of reality ! The increasing "worship of youth" and the "perpetuation of adolescence" and the ever-increasing postponement of the "age of reason and the development and acceptance of responsibility"......especially responsibility.....is what is producing these simpering , whimpering , mentally-plagued generations of "hard-done-by" , "entitled" , inadequate , dependent and demanding yet ungrateful , expensively and highly educated yet inarticulate people , detached and devoid of their own ideas and almost paralysed into inaction by inexplicable fears of their own imagination.........at a TIME IN HISTORY when people have NEVER HAD IT SO GOOD MATERIALLY ! Wealth , health , longevity and everything else is at it's absolute pinnacle ! Constructive Main-Stream-Religion has been sidelined in favour of airy-fairy "spiritualism" and superstitious belief and atheism....which removes so much personal strength and value and hope and optimism from the equation ! You stated the fact that the human brain takes about 25 years to mature .....and yet .....ignorant and infantile advocates like "Greta Thunberg" are given FRONT PAGE endorsement by people who should know better ! Entertainers [ like footballers and swimmers and musicians and TV 'personalities' and 'influencers' , "activists and their ilk" ] are accorded HERO STATUS , devaluing and denigrating the REAL HEROES , who were and are very few and far between ! The almost constant devaluation of our entire Western Culture , Civilisation and achievements is ACHIEVING exactly what it has set out to do.......and YOUR ambitious proposals will NEVER get off the ground ....if this devaluation of "us" and the continual preference of "others" is allowed to continue. Todays CHILDREN are growing-up HATING THEMSELVES and their cultures , taking drugs and committing suicide in great numbers .....but THAT mustn't be mentioned must it ! It's taboo !!! ......Already , the WORLD POPULATION is in decline , in some places , irreversibly , and with that "we" are losing so much potential brain-power and the productive thoughts and ideas that would create THAT FUTURE you crave ! Sadly , the diversion of wealth into nil-return , dead-end enterprises [ especially by Governments of late ] is wrecking the perception of a "brighter future" by saddling it deep in un-repayable-debt ! So there are NOT the funds available to explore and implement YOUR WORTHWHILE PROPOSALS unless "we" can get back to RESPONSIBLE REALITY and an EDUCATION SYSTEM that is not the 'indoctrination vehicle ' for malevolents to utilise that "we" have at present ! . So Don , there is a REAL CHALLENGE for you and "us" to resolve first I would say !

Stanley
July 15, 2022

Very true, but thinking of existential crises such as climate change, I believe the great majority of people, which includes the most senior and mentally mature, still have a tendency to act like the 3 ‘wise’ monkeys, instead of blowing the whistle on entrenched practices that now threaten human existence, particularly of this younger generation.

Spence for awareness
July 16, 2022

Great critique Trevor!
I don't see many listening, sadly, but that is how it is or has become. To turn it around may be impossible due to the inertia set in. I still love hearing/reading Plato - now there's a good influence, but who wants to hear it?
Thanks.

Peter
July 17, 2022

Trevor, you talk (and write) such sense. However, there is a reality we must all face. The Western World Life Model has changed forever. So much intelligence, creativity and time is now wasted on pursuits of absolutely no value.
We idolise, hang off every word and slavishly follow the self-appointed 'influencers' and pseudo-experts. We have become woke beyond woke-ness! Why are we all so 'time-poor' that we need to have drive-through grocery shopping, hot pizza and pre-cooked food delivered within minutes to our front doors? It's because we have wasted so much time flicking right or left for an attractive partner, then being seduced by Tik-Tok for hours, or disappearing zombie-like down the internet labyrinth for more hours-on-end, for absolutely zero value. These, and countless other aimless time-wasting drivel, consume the only really valuable commodity within our control. TIME. This 'time' becomes hours, then days, weeks, months and years. None of it will come back or pay a life-enhancing dividend.
We will definitely need to live to 100 to achieve what could be achieved in half that time. But, thanks for the challenge.

Maggie Flood
July 14, 2022

Very interesting and thoughtprovoking Don.
What about people who will always find themselves in work that could be classified as drudgery. Or the long-term unemployed?

Chris Jankowski
July 13, 2022

You can't cheat on biology. For humans the years from 20 to 40 are biologically determined years of top creativity, ability, capacity and productivity. These are also years when individuals can sustain enormous efforts and workloads relatively effortlessly. This results in producing majority of their lifetime achievements in this period. The proposed scheme's Act 2 completely wastes this potential by completely ignoring biological realities and suggesting a period of some half-baked part time jobs.

Inga
July 15, 2022

I disagree with you, Chris: by their 40-45 lots of people I know, are tired and "wasted" mentally and health-wise in the career-money chasing hamster wheel, what you seem to call "productivity".
As to having children: untill in their 40ties people aren't making consious choices, hence they should not be even alowed to have children, untill they themselves grow-up!
This is a great article, based on up-to-date realities, based on leaving a life and not living a lie )))

James
July 13, 2022

Living to 100, in relatively good physical and mental health sounds great. Just need to persuade the majority to not over eat (obesity is a growing problem), exercise and move more, drink less, consume less junk food, sugar and salt, spend less, save more and invest more. Tell him he's dreaming! (for the majority!)

Kathie Wilcox
July 13, 2022

As an 88 year old I am enjoying life greatly with 11 grandchildren and 2 (to be 3 soon)great grandchildren. I feel very fortunate to have good health and lots of love from extended family and help also when needed. I will probably live till at least 100 years as the family are long living. So long as I keep my marbles I will be fine.

David Williams
July 13, 2022

Excellent thoughts thanks Don. We have seen elements of many of them trotted out separately but it's really good to see them brought together like this. It's why we need to marshal the best resources here in Australia to fully design and implement a National Longevity Strategy. First steps in this direction are at nationallongevitystrategy.au. Contributions and contributors welcome!

Brian
July 13, 2022

'Don Ezra, now retired, ...' - and thus presumably in Act 5 ?!
Very interesting and thought provoking article.

Wayne Bishop Founder and CEO Changing Gears
July 13, 2022

Great article. This is an issue the Financial Services sector will need to address. The "longevity bonus" is here to stay!

 

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