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31 March 2025
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The rapid change in long-term bond yields, particularly over the past 12 months, has been the primary cause of the decline in the market value of our portfolios, and has represented the worst macro environment for long-duration assets, in a very long time.Despite recent declines in our portfolios, the underlying fundamentals have not deteriorated, with our companies' competitive positions and long-term earnings growth profiles remaining strong. Short-term fears about recession, temporary increases in bond yields and inflation are 'noise' and should not be our focus. Instead, focus should be on long-term valuations representing 'signal'.
A cyclical recession over the next year is unlikely to impact our portfolios' long-term forecast EPS and valuations due to our high levels of innovation and low penetration rates. In a world where growth will again become scarce, businesses that grow by taking market share will be in a strong position to produce attractive returns over the long term. The current selloff is providing an opportunity for long-term investors to get exposure to some of the best businesses in the world at attractive prices.Short-term factors are mere 'noise' rather than fundamental long-term 'signals'.You can find further thought pieces from Hyperion on our website here.
Download the full paper
This time last year, I highlighted 16 ASX stocks that investors could own indefinitely. One year on, I look at whether there should be any changes to the list of stocks as well as which companies are worth buying now.
The CIO of Australia’s fourth largest super fund by assets, John Pearce, suggests the odds favour a flat year for markets, with the possibility of a correction of 10% or more. However, he’ll use any dip as a buying opportunity.
The ABS recently released figures which are used to determine key superannuation rates and thresholds that will apply from 1 July 2025. This outlines the rates and thresholds that are changing and those that aren’t.
With the arrival of the new year, the first members of ‘Generation X’ turned 60, marking the start of the MTV generation’s collective journey towards retirement. Are Gen Xers and our retirement system ready for the transition?
The intergenerational wealth transfer, largely driven by a housing boom, exacerbates economic inequality, stifles productivity, and impedes social mobility. Solutions lie in addressing the housing problem, not taxing wealth.
Warren Buffett's annual shareholder letter has been fixture for avid investors for decades. In his latest letter, Buffett is reticent on many key topics, but his actions rather than words are sending clear signals to investors.
Are you living your life by default or by design? It strikes me that many people are doing the former and living according to others’ expectations of them, leading to poor choices including with their finances.
After the recent market slump, it's a good time to brush up on the defensive asset classes – what they are, why hold them, and how they can both deliver on your goals and increase the reliability of your desired outcomes.
Lately, there's been a push by Government for lifetime income streams as a solution to retirement income challenges. We run the numbers on these products to see whether they deliver on what they promise.
The stellar run of the major ASX banks last year left many investors scratching their heads. After a recent share price pullback, has value emerged in these banks, or is it best to steer clear of them?
If you’re struggling to replace the hybrid exposure in your portfolio, you’re not alone. Subordinated debt is an option, and here is a guide on what it is and how it can fit into your investment mix.
Trump’s moves on tariffs, defence, and Ukraine, have awoken European Governments after a decade of lethargy. European small cap manager, Alantra Asset Management, says it could herald a new era for the continent.
Founder-led companies often attract investors due to leaders' personal stakes and long-term vision. But founder presence alone does not guarantee success, and the challenge is to identify which ones will succeed in the long term.