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Edition: 434

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 434 with weekend update

  • 18 November 2021

Is this time different? Every week, we face new challenges to our understanding of how investing works. A Bitcoin is worth about US$60,000 versus $1 only 10 years ago. Rivian makes no revenues and manufactures few vehicles and it's now the second-most valuable car maker in the world. Fill in our 'Living Years' survey and pass on the lessons.

The Living Years Survey: Is this time different?

Many of our readers possess decades of investment experience. Let's share your lessons with those starting out, or is this time different, and your Living Years have left you 'prisoner to what you hold dear'?

Why starting points matter

There have been few times in the past 140 years when investors were willing to pay for more than 30 years’ worth of earnings, yet here we are around 40. This starting point does not augur well for future returns.

10 key investment themes for 2022

The end of the year is approaching fast, when investors consider rebalancing their portfolios. What are the big themes in a market facing the threat of inflation and rising rates for the first time in many years?

Which companies have the pricing power to fight inflation?

Company pricing power will be a crucial competitive advantage in the year ahead. There are signs that inflation could linger, but some companies and industries have the ability to grow their margins.

Tips when taking large withdrawals from super

You want to take a lump sum from your super, but what's the best way? Should it come from you or your spouse, or the pension or accumulation account. There is a welcome flexibility to select the best outcome.

Australia’s major banks go from turnaround to transformation

The major banks played a significant role in supporting Australia’s recovery in 2020, then benefited from the improved economy in 2021. But in 2022, they will need to deliver on their transformation programmes.

Is China’s regulatory reform stifling ‘animal spirits’?

Regulatory tightening has wiped US$1 trillion off China’s stockmarket over the past year, but this is not representative of the whole private sector. It is catching up with global practices of supervision of tech.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, one year on

Last year, I wrote an article suggesting returns from ASX stocks would trample those from housing over the next decade. One year later, this is an update on how that forecast is going and what's changed since.

What to expect from the Australian property market in 2025

The housing market was subdued in 2024, and pessimism abounds as we start the new year. 2025 is likely to be a tale of two halves, with interest rate cuts fuelling a resurgence in buyer demand in the second half of the year.

Howard Marks warns of market froth

The renowned investor has penned his first investor letter for 2025 and it’s a ripper. He runs through what bubbles are, which ones he’s experienced, and whether today’s markets qualify as the third major bubble of this century.

9 lessons from 2024

Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.

The 20 most popular articles of 2024

Check out the most-read Firstlinks articles from 2024. From '16 ASX stocks to buy and hold forever', to 'The best strategy to build income for life', and 'Where baby boomer wealth will end up', there's something for all.

2025: Another bullish year ahead for equities?

2024 was a banner year for equities, with a run-up in US tech stocks broadening into a global market rally, and the big question now is whether the good times can continue? History suggests optimism is warranted.

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