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21 December 2024

Home / Whitepaper

Whitepapers: GSFM

1-14 out of 14 results.

Three Reasons for Optimism about Asia ex-Japan Equities

After their post-Covid underperformance, Asia ex-Japan equities are poised for a turnaround. Key catalysts include anticipated Fed easing, China's policy reforms, and a burgeoning AI technology cycle, all aligning for potential outperformance.

AI and Electricity Demand: The Very Hungry Caterpillar

This paper explores how power constraints will impact the progress of AI, what the electricity demand boom means for the commodities market, as well as the implications for investors exposed to utilities and infrastructure investments.

New anchors reshaping supply chains: Opportunities for investors.

Eastspring's pulse survey across North America, Europe and Asia reveals that supply chain rebalancing is among the top priorities for businesses. As global supply chains evolve, businesses are rebalancing to not only mitigate risks but also capture opportunities.

The power of being defensive and different

Recent years have been volatile as investors have tried to forecast the trajectory for inflation, interest rates, and global growth. Conditions are looking up for equity investors now, but material uncertainty remains.

Securitized credit: More relatable and connected to daily life than you think

Securitisations are all around our daily lives, so why do they strike most of us as a complex, financially engineered labyrinth? This paper explains why securitisations exist, what opportunities they offer, and the benefits securitised credit offers a multi-asset portfolio.

The US November 2024 Election: Implications for Investors

This paper examines the key policy implications of the Biden vs. Trump rematch, particularly regarding trade, tariffs, taxes, and energy, as well as for the Fed, industrial policy, deregulation, and defense, as well as their implications for investors.

The Capital Reinvestment Story

What is the purpose of a firm? The generally accepted answer is something along the lines of “maximize the value of the business for its owners,” which in the case of a publicly traded company is the stockholders. But what does that answer really mean in practice?

AI is the New Macro Part II: An AI Powered Productivity Boom

Part II of our series examines productivity, which has been the primary determinant of our prosperity and welfare. In turn, since at least Gutenberg, technologies like AI have been the critical driver of productivity.

AI is the New Macro: Implications for the Labor Market

Generative AI is destined to be the key driver of equity markets over the next decade or so. Part I of a four part series identifies four key areas that could be impacted – labor, productivity, sector concentration and free cash flow generation.

Eight things investors can no longer rely on

Investing is not getting any easier. Now more than ever. A host of things investors have benefitted from in recent decades is likely to turn on a multi-year view. What has not changed, is the need to deliver performance.

This is why we can’t have nice things

Of late, people are blaming a variety of economic ills on an unlikely villain: the desire of investors to earn good returns on capital. But, no industry can be expected to survive if it is not creating value for its investors.

China’s “Common Prosperity”: What Does it Mean for Investors?

In 2024 the SEC will begin delisting Chinese companies that haven’t opened up their audits to U.S. oversight. Beijing has prohibited cooperation over fears that state secrets would be leaked. As a result, equity market decoupling is destined to accelerate over the next two years.

The pandemic accelerant: turbo-charging the digital economy

New business formation has soared during the pandemic, even though it typically plummets during recessions. Similarly, we have witnessed a record number of unicorn births, especially in fintech and biotech.

Moore’s Law and the race for the rest of the chessboard

The explosion of exciting breakthroughs in AI, autonomous driving, 5G, and cloud computing will drive double-digit growth in semiconductor revenues for the foreseeable future.

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Vale Graham Hand

It’s with heavy hearts that we announce Firstlinks’ co-founder and former Managing Editor, Graham Hand, has died aged 66. Graham was a legendary figure in the finance industry and here are three tributes to him.

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, one year on

Last year, I wrote an article suggesting returns from ASX stocks would trample those from housing over the next decade. One year later, this is an update on how that forecast is going and what's changed since.

Avoiding wealth transfer pitfalls

Australia is in the early throes of an intergenerational wealth transfer worth an estimated $3.5 trillion. Here's a case study highlighting some of the challenges with transferring wealth between generations.

Taxpayers betrayed by Future Fund debacle

The Future Fund's original purpose was to meet the unfunded liabilities of Commonwealth defined benefit schemes. These liabilities have ballooned to an estimated $290 billion and taxpayers continue to be treated like fools.

Australia’s shameful super gap

ASFA provides a key guide for how much you will need to live on in retirement. Unfortunately it has many deficiencies, and the averages don't tell the full story of the growing gender superannuation gap.

Looking beyond banks for dividend income

The Big Four banks have had an extraordinary run and it’s left income investors with a conundrum: to stick with them even though they now offer relatively low dividend yields and limited growth prospects or to look elsewhere.

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