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Neuberger Berman

Ten for 2023 - Midyear Update

Last November, the heads of our four investment platforms identified the key themes they expected to be prominent in the markets during 2023. We revisited these concepts to see how they’ve played out so far and assess our outlook for the remainder of 2023.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 2Q23

In 2023, investors will face a challenge finding a balance between lower interest rates and a deteriorating economy. Bank failures will lead to tighter lending conditions, and watch exposure to commercial real estate.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q23

Last year saw a historic surge in inflation and interest rates, and a corresponding reset in financial asset valuations. At the start of 2023, we believe peak inflation has passed, and anticipate a gradual reduction in pricing pressures over the year.

Private markets: from alternative to mainstream

This paper, by Erik Knutzen, explores the evolution of private markets over the past 30 years and looks at key trends and challenges for the decades to come.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 3Q 2022

Monetary tightening has delivered higher interest rates and widened credit spreads. Although there is risk to the upside, we believe that inflation will ease from peak levels but remain elevated above targets until well into next year.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 3Q 2022

Recession or not, we believe equity investors are going to feel like they’re in one as the valuation adjustment of the first half of 2022 is followed by downward revisions to earnings forecasts in the second half.

Latest Updates

Retirement

Retirement is a risky business for most people

While encouraging people to draw down on their accumulated wealth in retirement might be good public policy, several million retirees disagree because they are purposefully conserving that capital. It’s time for a different approach.

Investment strategies

Why ASX miners will handily beat banks in the long-term

After a stellar run for banks, investors are wondering whether they can continue their outperformance or if a rotation into miners is imminent. There’s a good case that a switch is coming, and it may last decades, not just years.

Investment strategies

After DeepSeek, what's next for the big US tech companies?

DeepSeek has surprised investors, but it shouldn't: it's part of a normal capital cycle. Big tech companies have made a lot of money, which attracts capital and competition, and eventually hurts returns and incumbent share prices.

Economy

The case for Australian AI

If Australia is to control its own destiny in an AI-enabled future, it must build its own infrastructure, not rent it from overseas. Creating homemade AI is the first critical step in the long process of building Australia's AI economy.

How Nextflix is staying ahead of the competition

The TV streaming business has become increasingly competitive, yet Netflix has managed to grow market share and become the dominant player. Here's how it's done that, and the opportunities it has moving forwards.

Investment strategies

The million-dollar banana and the power of story

Markets are not driven by numbers alone. Examples from Tesla shares to Sydney houses show that investors must evaluate not just tangible assets or financials, but also the intangible story that magnifies their value.

Retirement

An alternative asset class for income-seeking retirees

A big market sell-off can force pensioners to 'sell cheap' in order to meet their miniumum withdrawal requirements. Investing in less volatile assets that also deliver regular income could provide an alternative.

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