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22 December 2024

Home / Author: Neuberger Berman

Neuberger Berman

The inflation inflection: Adjusting to the new paradigm

Portfolios should be prepared for higher inflation and should contain not only assets that can mitigate against and take advantage of inflation, but also assets that can diversify against the uncertainty and volatility of the journey.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 1Q22

A fundamentally robust economy and a positive earnings and default outlook make the case for holding risky assets through 2022, in our view. But the likely transition to structurally higher inflation and higher interest rates, plus the risk of central bank policy errors, could be a recipe for elevated volatility.

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 1Q 2022

With inflation top-of-mind for investors, we believe the Federal Reserve’s reaction function will likely be a key driver of real yields, the dollar and risk markets this year. Although we anticipate that inflation levels will ease, the decline will likely be shorter-lived and shallower than some expect.

Equity Market Outlook 1Q 2022

Given such a long list of concerns—from high asset valuations to a pandemic—the S&P 500 Index returns of 31%, 18% and 29% through 2019, 2020 and 2021 is impressive. Something more fundamental than that long list of concerns has kept on driving the market higher.

Asset Allocation Committee Outlook 4Q 2021

The immediate hurdles that we believe investors need to clear include supply disruptions and rising input costs, tighter fiscal and monetary conditions, and threats to growth in China. But which markets do we favor when core government bond yields remain so low?

Fixed Income Investment Outlook 4Q 2021

A potential default in China and shifting policy in Europe have been key developments in an environment of volatility and higher yields. Investors should focus on reorienting portfolios in light of the 'two-way' investment environment that will likely emerge in 2022.

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