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Edition: 189

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Edition 189

  • 10 February 2017

What to believe? Nobel Laureate, Eugene Fama, is often described as 'the Father of Finance' for his work on portfolios, asset pricing and share markets. Yet in a recent research paper looking at 50 years of modern finance, he says most asset pricing models fail, we don't know how to calculate the cost of capital, and betas for individual stocks are "garbage". He describes behavioural economics as "mostly just dredging for anomolies".

The Dow hitting 20,000 and what it hides

Investors celebrated when the Dow broke through the 20,000 mark last month, but in real terms, it's a more sobering picture. Australian stocks in particular are struggling to reach their previous heights.

Monica's Q&A on $1.6 million super rules

Monica answers questions on her article on the $1.6 million cap. As she will be unable to answer more questions directly for a while, consider registering for her upcoming webinar.

The dramatic tale of two hybrids, CBA VII versus VIII

Issued just 18 months apart, two of CBA's preference share issues, PERLS VII and PERLS VIII, experienced vastly different market receptions and showed hybrids can also be volatile.

Lessons for roboadvice in Centrelink debacle

Centrelink is facing a robo-debt backlash after using computers to check ATO records, replacing the usual human interaction. Likewise, roboadvice algorithms need to know more about the circumstances of clients.

A robo response: digital wealth advice will engage at all levels

A response to Graham Hand's article on lessons for roboadvice, explaining how enhancements to digital wealth management are embracing the adjacent role of human advisers.

Negative gearing doubts and ATO watches home purchasers

Housing affordability is a political no-go zone although the longer term survival of negative gearing is doubtful. The ATO is keeping a close watch on agents to check whether property is selling to foreign investors.

The SMSF sector by the numbers

The ATO's annual statistics on superannuation assets shows that SMSFs continue to grow but not as quickly as institutional funds, as the older age demographics of SMSF retirees made less net contributions.

Update on LIC developments

Independent Investment Research's January 2017 review of LICs explains recent rating suspensions, new fund listings on the ASX as well as pricing and performance data.

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Why it’s time to ditch the retirement journey

Retirement isn’t a clean financial arc. Income shocks, health costs and family pressures hit at random, exposing the limits of age-based planning and the myth of a predictable “retirement journey".

Australia's retirement system works brilliantly for some - but not all

The superannuation system has succeeded brilliantly at what it was designed to do: accumulate wealth during working lives. The next challenge is meeting members’ diverse needs in retirement. 

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, 2025 edition

Two years ago, I wrote an article suggesting that the odds favoured ASX shares easily outperforming residential property over the next decade. Here’s an update on where things stand today.

The 3 biggest residential property myths

I am a professional real estate investor who hears a lot of opinions rather than facts from so-called experts on the topic of property. Here are the largest myths when it comes to Australia’s biggest asset class.

AFIC on the speculative ASX boom, opportunities, and LIC discounts

In an interview with Firstlinks, CEO Mark Freeman discusses how speculative ASX stocks have crushed blue chips this year, companies he likes now, and why he’s confident AFIC’s NTA discount will close.

Where to hide in the ‘everything bubble’

It might not be quite an ‘everything bubble’ but there’s froth in many assets, not just US stocks, right now. It might be time to stress test your portfolio and consider assets that could offer you shelter if trouble is coming.

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