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Edition: 162

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Edition 162

  • 30 June 2016

Millions of words have been written about Brexit in the few days since the referendum, but nobody knows the final outcome. While accepting the downside possibility, my view is that Brexit is one of many events which can add to market uncertainty and volatility, and it's better to stay the course with a long-term investment strategy than assume the worst. The UK produces only about 4% of global GDP, and British companies want to trade with the world from an open economy.

Two Brexit visions as seen from London

There were two camps in the 'leave' campaign, and the one negotiating with the EU should be pro-immigration. While this increases the chance of the UK retaining access to the common market, will the other camp allow flexibility?

Don’t let Brexit rush you to the exit

The media screams the scary headlines at times like Brexit as the share market reacts to the uncertainty. Investors need to ignore the shouting and accept with equanimity that this is the cost of participation.

Department stores going out of vogue

Department stores globally are struggling but there are still attractive investment opportunities in retailing, with the market showing its preference for online shopping and speciality stores.

Nine factors to assess in IPOs with no earnings

When a new company comes to market with little or no earnings history, investors need to turn to other factors to assess the merits. It's a higher risk game but the rewards are there.

Regtech evolution as compliance drives us crazy

One estimate puts the cost of compliance with regulations at $95 billion p.a. plus self-imposed red tape at an additional $160 billion. New developments in 'regtech' offer hope that this tsunami can turn into a gentler wave.

Index inclusion delayed for China but positives abound

Although the leading index-provider, MSCI, recently decided to delay accepting China A-shares into its emerging markets and other indexes, the long-term impact is likely to be minimal before these shares are included.

Longevity risk cures worse than the disease

There is much disagreement over the 'safe' withdrawal rate in retirement to ensure savings do not run out. Unfortunately, drawing only 2.5% from a nestegg will leave many retirees living a life on unnecessary austerity.

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2024/25 super thresholds – key changes and implications

The ATO has released all the superannuation rates and thresholds that will apply from 1 July 2024. Here's what’s changing and what’s not, and some key considerations and opportunities in the lead up to 30 June and beyond.

Five months on from cancer diagnosis

Life has radically shifted with my brain cancer, and I don’t know if it will ever be the same again. After decades of writing and a dozen years with Firstlinks, I still want to contribute, but exactly how and when I do that is unclear.

Uncomfortable truths: The real cost of living in retirement

How useful are the retirement savings and spending targets put out by various groups such as ASFA? Not very, and it's reducing the ability of ordinary retirees to fully understand their retirement income options.

Is Australia ready for its population growth over the next decade?

Australia will have 3.7 million more people in a decade's time, though the growth won't be evenly distributed. Over 85s will see the fastest growth, while the number of younger people will barely rise. 

Why LICs may be close to bottoming

Investor disgust, consolidation, de-listings, price discounts, activist investors entering - it’s what typically happens at business cycle troughs, and it’s happening to LICs now. That may present a potential opportunity.

The public servants demanding $3m super tax exemption

The $3 million super tax will capture retired, and soon to retire, public servants and politicians who are members of defined benefit superannuation schemes. Lobbying efforts for exemptions to the tax are intensifying.

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