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29 January 2025
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Resilience begins with being aware of where you have come from compared to where you are now and adjusting portfolios accordingly. This means moderating return expectations and eschewing more risk to make up for the reduced market beta.
Soaring policy rates have made cash a competitive asset again, prompting an overdue de-rating of risk assets. But just because yields are higher, that doesn’t mean risk is lower.
Two words come to mind when describing fixed income markets at present: volatility and uncertainty. The macro factors influencing the current environment include COVID's legacy, war in Ukraine, high inflation, tightening monetary policy and a strong dollar.
With equity valuations at all-time highs, fixed income yields at or near historic lows and volatility top of mind for investors, the emerging market debt (EMD) asset class may warrant a closer look for Australian investors.
The markets are awash in crosscurrents, so it’s critical to focus on what’s material and filter out market noise. When things get complicated, it's helpful to try to simplify them.
Shifts in market structure post-GFC have led to lasting changes in the behavior of credit spreads, with significant implications for active investors.
The world is pushing for social change, with calls to alleviate social injustice and racial inequality growing louder around the globe. Businesses have as much responsibility for diversity and inclusion as individuals.
COVID-19 is leading to unprecedented economic destruction across the world. While the human and financial cost will be enormous, dislocation also presents opportunities. Investors will need patience and a long-term horizon to benefit.
A case study on shifting the performance evaluation mindset. This paper reflects the work done with MFS' mutual funds board and the process it took to push the business forward and think differently.
Developing and overseeing a retirement-spending strategy can be a complex undertaking. As both life expectancies and the number of retirees who will need to rely on their superannuation portfolios increase, so too will the challenges facing retirees.
Hope is not an investment thesis.Investor pain in the final quarter of 2018 has seemingly faded from memory, based on the rerisking across global equity and credit markets in the first two months of 2019.
While the short term remains difficult to forecast, fundamentals drive cash flows and cash flows drive asset prices, and these fundamentals are units, price, margin and earnings.
Technology has improved our standard of living, but the rapid pace of development has created ethical dilemmas for companies, impacted many users and overwhelmed regulatory bodies.
For the first time in human history there are more people (55%) living in urban areas than in rural areas, placing tremendous stress on resources, infrastructure and the human psyche.
A misalignment between investors and their asset managers could be causing them to forfeit the full value of active management.
The housing market was subdued in 2024, and pessimism abounds as we start the new year. 2025 is likely to be a tale of two halves, with interest rate cuts fuelling a resurgence in buyer demand in the second half of the year.
This examines the performance of key asset classes and sub-sectors in 2024 and over longer timeframes, and the lessons that can be drawn for constructing an investment portfolio for the next decade.
The renowned investor has penned his first investor letter for 2025 and it’s a ripper. He runs through what bubbles are, which ones he’s experienced, and whether today’s markets qualify as the third major bubble of this century.
2024 was a banner year for equities, with a run-up in US tech stocks broadening into a global market rally, and the big question now is whether the good times can continue? History suggests optimism is warranted.
Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.
Check out the most-read Firstlinks articles from 2024. From '16 ASX stocks to buy and hold forever', to 'The best strategy to build income for life', and 'Where baby boomer wealth will end up', there's something for all.