Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 441

Morningstar asset class performance, 2021 and historical

The start of a new year is a good time to review portfolio performance and consider long-term settings for a financial future.

This article breaks Morningstar reporting into five tables to show market performance over all time periods to 30 years, as well as measures of risk and drawdowns. The chart on long-term performance shows Australian equities and listed property doing best since 1989. 

Table 1: Asset class performance from 1 month to 30 years

Table 2: Standard deviation (a measure of risk) by asset class

Table 3: Historical 1-year returns

Table 4: Historical 5-year returns

Table 5: Historical drawdown (market falls)

Tables sourced from Morningstar Adviser Research Centre.

Chart

Source: Morningstar Adviser Research Centre.

 

Access data and research on over 40,000 securities through Morningstar Investor, as well as a portfolio manager integrated with Australia’s leading portfolio tracking service, Sharesight. Sign up to a free, four week trial below:


Try Morningstar Investor for free


 

5 Comments
D Ramsay
January 15, 2022

Could we please also get the modal values (i.e. mode = the most common score) into the Historical 1 and 5 -year returns into those tables please as it would give a perspective of how Normalized or Skewed the distribution is.

John
January 13, 2022

The chart included (showing relative performance of asset classes) is in a format that I have long considered poor because it is easily manipulated by merely changing the start date. My other criticism is that there is virtually no investor that has that exact experience.

Instead, I suggest an alternative.

Instead of starting with a dollar investment, some time in the past, instead produce a graph that has today as its end date, with each of the asset classes ending up with $100 invested, and the line of the graph says for each date on the horizontal axis, how much money would need to be invested to end up with the $100.

The highest performing asset class would in this graph be the one with the lowest amount of initial investment. The big advantage of this graph would be that any investor could select a start date, and see how much they needed to invest at that start date, in that asset class to end up with $100 now. You could see what proportion of investment dates (finishing today) would produce negative returns, and what proportion positive (or you could make a good guess along those lines)

Dudley
January 13, 2022

"with each of the asset classes ending up with $100 invested":

Better; then only need to time travel to make guaranteed outcome investments.

Tomorrow's race results are best.

Alexander Stitt
January 15, 2022

Wholeheartedly agree with John, that showing a common end point allows a much better understanding of where past performance differentials have arisen and overcomes the problem in the choice of start date; and I've long though this. A quick look at how different the results would be on the existing chart if the start date was 2006 vs 2009 easily illustrates the point. Maybe such a chart requires a bit more work from the user to comprehend, but is, in effect, just the tables of "past 1 years performance", "past 3 years performance", "past 10 years performance" put into a common chart with all time intervals on display all the way back to the chart start, not just the arbitrary "1 year", "3 year" "10 year" etc. observations.

I suspect Dudley, in his comment, did not fully understand what John was proposing.

Dudley
January 15, 2022

Been presenting semi-log cumulative total value normalised to 1 at current date for years.
More clearly shows relative growth rates.
Does not predict future.

 

Leave a Comment:

RELATED ARTICLES

Diversification is not a free lunch

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

What to expect from the Australian property market in 2025

The housing market was subdued in 2024, and pessimism abounds as we start the new year. 2025 is likely to be a tale of two halves, with interest rate cuts fuelling a resurgence in buyer demand in the second half of the year.

The perfect portfolio for the next decade

This examines the performance of key asset classes and sub-sectors in 2024 and over longer timeframes, and the lessons that can be drawn for constructing an investment portfolio for the next decade.

Howard Marks warns of market froth

The renowned investor has penned his first investor letter for 2025 and it’s a ripper. He runs through what bubbles are, which ones he’s experienced, and whether today’s markets qualify as the third major bubble of this century.

9 lessons from 2024

Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.

2025: Another bullish year ahead for equities?

2024 was a banner year for equities, with a run-up in US tech stocks broadening into a global market rally, and the big question now is whether the good times can continue? History suggests optimism is warranted.

The 20 most popular articles of 2024

Check out the most-read Firstlinks articles from 2024. From '16 ASX stocks to buy and hold forever', to 'The best strategy to build income for life', and 'Where baby boomer wealth will end up', there's something for all.

Latest Updates

Shares

The challenges with building a dividend portfolio

Getting regular, growing income from stocks is tougher with the dividend yield on the ASX nearing 25-year lows. Here are some conventional and not-so-conventional ideas for investors wanting to build a dividend portfolio.

Retirement

How much do you need to retire?

Australians are used to hearing dire warnings that they don't have enough saved for a comfortable retirement. Yet most people need to save a lot less than you might think — as long as they meet an important condition.

Economics

Why a deflationary shock is near

Strategist Russell Napier says central banks have lifted interest rates too far and a deflationary shock is coming. He believes Governments will react radically and investors should avoid bonds and US stocks, and own more gold.

Economy

Federal budget forecast errors need greater scrutiny

The discrepancies that are appearing between Treasury budget forecasts and actual outcomes need closer examination. The inaccurate forecasts are impacting economic projections and investment decisions.

Investment strategies

A reluctant investor’s guide to understanding bitcoin

As every aspect of our lives has been transformed by digitisation, the changing nature of money and currencies should come as no surprise. But while bitcoin is here to stay, many investors still lack a clear grasp of what it is. 

Investment strategies

Unearthing small and mid-cap gems

Small and mid-cap companies aligned with long-term trends like security, climate and digital media can offer compelling growth opportunities. Here are three US stocks that are set to take off in 2025.  

Shares

Decoding the DNA of exceptional companies

Successful companies depend on management decisions, with bold choices, long-term vision, and calculated risks driving growth. Luxury brand, Hermès, exemplifies this, resulting in it creating immense shareholder wealth. 

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.