Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 437

Three small companies expected to deliver big returns

Smaller companies often have great potential and can offer investors bigger opportunities than those found in the broader market. Even over the past 12 months, as share markets have bounced back, small companies have outperformed. The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index returned 31% for the 12 months to the end of October 2021, compared with a return of 28% by the S&P/ASX 200 Accumulation Index.

Less-researched opportunities

The ability to generate this type of outperformance is driven by the information arbitrage opportunities available to smaller company investors. While large cap stocks are researched intensively, the small companies end is highly differentiated across a broad range of sectors and business models. These can often be unique and generally it is an area that is not particularly well researched across the market. This provides opportunity for the small-cap investor to sift through and find undiscovered gems.

However investing successfully in small companies requires a lot of leg work to understand industries, companies, and their respective management teams. Even in the initial stages of the investment process, an in-person visit is important to get a feel for a company and understand what drives it. There is also a need for rigour and discipline when processing company information.

ESG as a factor

Any factor that may have a material impact on a company’s performance and the industry in which it operates should be looked at when considering investing in a company.

ESG involves assessing a company’s approach to issues such as climate change, employee development, community impact, supply chain standards, board remuneration and diversity. Ultimately, a company is unlikely to find lasting success unless it has a strong social license and employs sustainable practices.

Three small companies set for big things

Creative thinking

A great example of the rewards that can accrue from good research is location sharing and driving safety app Life360 Inc. Although based in San Francisco, Life360 founders Chris Hull and Alex Haro decided to look to the ASX to raise ‘clean’ funds that wouldn’t have as many strings attached as in a US listing.

The company listed on the ASX in May 2019 but COVID-19 hit the share price hard. With nobody leaving the home, there was no need for parents to be worried about the safety of their family. The app was never particularly popular amongst the teenage children tracked for their whereabouts, although Life360 did introduce some clever social media marketing campaigns to combat this issue.

But we could see value in the company if they could make the transition to a paid membership strategy. Despite the impact of lockdowns, we could see early signs of success. Management was also looking to make strategic acquisitions to increase market penetration. Earlier this year, the company bought jiobit, a wearable tracker for pets and young children.

With the majority of Life360’s users in the US, impressive monthly user and subscriber growth is driving results. Management has capitalised on the economic reopening and the back-to-school period with marketing campaigns that are improving customer conversion rates.

More recently, Life360 announced a binding agreement to acquire Tile Inc and it is conducting an equity raising to raise $280 million. Tile Inc sells hardware devices that can be attached to items, such as wallets, keys etc, to help users find them. With Tile, Life360 can offer the whole suite of location services from ‘things’ to family and pets. We are heavily overweight Life360 in our portfolio.

Building momentum

While it has been around for a lot longer than Life360, Australian gas producer Senex Energy has been bucking sector trends in recent months after engaging with Korean steelmaker Posco International regarding a takeover proposal.

Senex management granted due diligence to Posco in an attempt to elicit a higher bid than the initial offer price of $4 per share. They also made public that the initial offer, and subsequent second and third offers, fell short of appropriate valuation levels. Senex holds a unique set of assets that should deliver attractive long-term cashflows and the board was right to wait for a fourth, and potentially final offer, of $4.60 per share.

Factors such as corporate culture and ESG can reveal a lot about how a company’s executives and management might act when they receive an approach like that of Posco. Senex’s calm but calculated response vindicated our view that Senex would eventually develop utility-like characteristics as energy users embraced gas as a ‘transition fuel’ in moving to net zero. 

Edtech opportunity

We’ve also recently initiated a position in online assessment and digital learning business Janison Education. COVID-19 provided it with the opportunity to shine. The Edtech business pivoted its model from bespoke online environments to a more standardised platform, better enabling it to scale. The opportunity to digitise and rollout existing programmes while also making targeted acquisitions showed us a business trading at a material discount to emerging SaaS peers.

Small caps might require more work than large cap stocks but they are often worth it. After all, all large companies were small once, and there can be clear benefits of investing early.

 

Simon Brown is a Portfolio Manager at Tribeca Investment Partners. Tribeca is a specialist investment manager partner of GSFM Funds Management, a sponsor of Firstlinks. Tribeca may have holdings in the companies mentioned in this article. This information is general in nature and has been prepared without taking account of the objectives, financial situation or needs of individuals.

For more articles and papers from GSFM and partners, click here.

 

RELATED ARTICLES

Where are the opportunities in small caps?

Small caps are compelling but not for the reasons you might think...

Three ASX small caps set to shine in 2024

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, one year on

Last year, I wrote an article suggesting returns from ASX stocks would trample those from housing over the next decade. One year later, this is an update on how that forecast is going and what's changed since.

What to expect from the Australian property market in 2025

The housing market was subdued in 2024, and pessimism abounds as we start the new year. 2025 is likely to be a tale of two halves, with interest rate cuts fuelling a resurgence in buyer demand in the second half of the year.

Howard Marks warns of market froth

The renowned investor has penned his first investor letter for 2025 and it’s a ripper. He runs through what bubbles are, which ones he’s experienced, and whether today’s markets qualify as the third major bubble of this century.

The perfect portfolio for the next decade

This examines the performance of key asset classes and sub-sectors in 2024 and over longer timeframes, and the lessons that can be drawn for constructing an investment portfolio for the next decade.

9 lessons from 2024

Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.

The 20 most popular articles of 2024

Check out the most-read Firstlinks articles from 2024. From '16 ASX stocks to buy and hold forever', to 'The best strategy to build income for life', and 'Where baby boomer wealth will end up', there's something for all.

Latest Updates

Investment strategies

The perfect portfolio for the next decade

This examines the performance of key asset classes and sub-sectors in 2024 and over longer timeframes, and the lessons that can be drawn for constructing an investment portfolio for the next decade.

Shares

The case for and against US stock market exceptionalism

The outlook for equities in 2025 has been dominated by one question: will the US market's supremacy continue? Whichever side of the debate you sit on, you should challenge yourself by considering the alternative.

Taxation

Negative gearing: is it a tax concession?

Negative gearing allows investors to deduct rental property expenses, including interest, from taxable income, but its tax concession status is debatable. The real issue lies in the favorable tax treatment of capital gains. 

Investing

How can you not be bullish the US?

Trump's election has turbocharged US equities, but can that outperformance continue? Expensive valuations, rising bond yields, and a potential narrowing of EPS growth versus the rest of the world, are risks.

Planning

Navigating broken relationships and untangling assets

Untangling assets after a broken relationship can be daunting. But approaching the situation fully informed, in good health and with open communication can make the process more manageable and less costly.

Beware the bond vigilantes in Australia

Unlike their peers in the US and UK, policy makers in Australia haven't faced a bond market rebellion in recent times. This could change if current levels of issuance at the state and territory level continue.

Retirement

What you need to know about retirement village contracts

Retirement village contracts often require significant upfront payments, with residents losing control over their money. While they may offer a '100% share in capital gain', it's important to look at the numbers before committing.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2025 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.