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Edition: 198

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Edition 198

  • 21 April 2017

Brexit confirmed London is unlike most of the UK, as the capital voted firmly to stay in Europe. After spending a few days here, it’s easy to wonder what the doom of Brexit is all about. As Samuel Johnson said, “Sir, when a man is tired of London, he is tired of life.” The West End shows sell out every night and the multitude of languages on the streets feels like many nations assembling in one place. More important, there is something eerie in the night sky over the city that is more tangible and optimistic: vast numbers of blinking red lights atop a forest of cranes.

Aussie equities vs Sydney housing: who’s the marginal buyer?

If you’re wondering how sustainable the current high prices of Australian equities and Sydney’s housing are, you need to consider the likely demand of the marginal buyer.

Risks to banks at end of construction boom

Australian banks are vulnerable to a collapse in the local housing market due to an overexposure to high-rise developments, interest-only loans and high loan-to-value ratios. The main uncertainty is the timing.

Perfect storm brewing for local retailers

A decline in activity related to household construction, combined with the arrival of foreign retail brands, does not bode well for Australian retailers. And an online behemoth may be an even bigger threat.

Why 'total superannuation balance' is important for SMSFs

In addition to the $1.6 million transfer balance cap, SMSF members should also understand the concept of ‘total superannuation balance’ to stay within the rules and make the most of contribution opportunities.

Catch-up contributions are a tax planning opportunity

Deferring concessional contributions to a year when an individual’s taxable income is higher by making 'catch-up' contributions can create a sizable tax arbitrage between tax paid within the fund and tax paid personally.

Why infrastructure stocks can withstand higher interest rates

There's a common misconception that as a 'bond proxy', infrastructure asset prices will fall as bond prices do when rates rise. But these hard assets have sufficient inflation protection to drive a more robust outcome.

Three drivers of attractive infrastructure opportunities

Chronic under-spending, public expectations for improvement and strained government budgets are placing an onus on public equity markets to help the world meets its rapidly growing infrastructure needs.

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Building a lazy ETF portfolio in 2026

What are the best ways to build a simple portfolio from scratch? I’ve addressed this issue before but think it’s worth revisiting given markets and the world have since changed, throwing up new challenges and things to consider.

Get set for a bumpy 2026

At this time last year, I forecast that 2025 would likely be a positive year given strong economic prospects and disinflation. The outlook for this year is less clear cut and here is what investors should do.

Meg on SMSFs: First glimpse of revised Division 296 tax

Treasury has released draft legislation for a new version of the controversial $3 million super tax. It's a significant improvement on the original proposal but there are some stings in the tail.

Ray Dalio on 2025’s real story, Trump, and what’s next

The renowned investor says 2025’s real story wasn’t AI or US stocks but the shift away from American assets and a collapse in the value of money. And he outlines how to best position portfolios for what’s ahead.

10 fearless forecasts for 2026

The predictions include dividends will outstrip growth as a source of Australian equity returns, US market performance will be underwhelming, while US government bonds will beat gold.

13 million spare bedrooms: Rethinking Australia’s housing shortfall

We don’t have a housing shortage; we have housing misallocation. This explores why so many bedrooms go unused, what’s been tried before, and five things to unlock housing capacity – no new building required.

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