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Edition: 204

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Edition 204

  • 2 June 2017

This week saw one of those rare but not unprecedented times when a fund manager returns all money to his clients because the market risks are too great and he's struggling to find good investments. Altair's decision inevitably prompts the question, "Are we there yet?". Unfortunately, nobody knows, although the articles we have published from other fund managers who have increased their weightings to cash are an indication of widespread concern.

Six months of Trump, thanks, but what about impeachment?

Growth assets have defied most predictions and performed well six months on from Trump’s election, but what will be the market consequences of a possible impeachment, using history as a guide.

Seismic change and investing in barbells

The stock market is increasingly looking like a 'barbell' of company returns with a few big winners and lots of losers, especially in retailing where new competition led by Amazon is nothing less than a seismic change.

The impact of global migration of millionaires

Australia’s net inflow of immigrant millionaires is large and growing. With a lack of premium housing stock, major cities are struggling to meet demand, but this does not necessarily feed into the broader economy.

Managing downside risks in retirement with alternative assets

Alternative assets can enhance retirement portfolios through diversification, but their use requires skilled navigation and a willingness to compromise on liquidity to allow assets to realise their long-term potential.

The big three investment risks in retirement

Of the major risks in retirement, inflation has the potential to be the greatest. Its incremental yet compounding impact is almost certain to reduce retiree purchasing power significantly over a 20-30-year retirement.

Irrational exuberance: is history repeating?

The widely-quoted Shiller P/E measure of the S&P500 now stands well above its long-term average, but is this a reliable signal that the US market is seriously overpriced?

SMSFs must fix death benefit pensions now

The ATO has announced a relaxed approach to the treatment of death benefit income streams by a spouse provided action is taken before 1 July 2017.

Is the property illiquidity premium outdated?

Structural differences tied into the same asset class can provide divergent performance and investors need to be clear about their objectives when choosing the vehicle through which they take exposure.

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Why the $5.4 trillion wealth transfer is a generational tragedy

The intergenerational wealth transfer, largely driven by a housing boom, exacerbates economic inequality, stifles productivity, and impedes social mobility. Solutions lie in addressing the housing problem, not taxing wealth.

The 2025 Australian Federal election – implications for investors

With an election due by 17 May, we are effectively in campaign mode with the Government announcing numerous spending promises since January and the Coalition often matching them. Here's what the election means for investors.

Finding the best income-yielding assets

With fixed term deposit rates declining and bank hybrids being phased out, what are the best options for investors seeking income? This goes through the choices, and the opportunities and risks involved.

What history reveals about market corrections and crashes

The S&P 500's recent correction raises concerns about a bear market. History shows corrections are driven by high rates, unemployment, or global shocks, and that there's reason for optimism for nervous investors today. 

Howard Marks: the investing game has changed

The famed investor says the rapid switch from globalisation to trade wars is the biggest upheaval in the investing environment since World War Two. And a new world requires a different investment approach.

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 605 with weekend update

Trump's tariffs and China's retaliatory strike have sent the Nasdaq into a bear market with the S&P 500 not far behind. What are the implications for the economy and markets, and what should investors do now? 

  • 3 April 2025

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