Register For Our Mailing List

Register to receive our free weekly newsletter including editorials.

Home / 554

Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 554 with weekend update

  •   4 April 2024
  • 5
  •      
  •   

The Weekend Edition includes a market update plus Morningstar adds links to two additional articles.

Think back to when you were 10 years old – what were you like and what did you value? For me, my primary memory is of playing tennis. My life was consumed by the sport. During the school holidays, I played all day, every day at my local club. And I’d just started to play statewide tournaments. There wasn’t a lot else that got my attention, including school, back then.

Fast forward to 20 years of age, I was at university and loved learning and education. Earlier, I had a sliding doors moment, deciding that I wanted to pursue education instead of becoming a professional tennis player. I still coached some tennis to earn some money for socializing while attending university but had largely given up playing. My 10-year-old self wouldn’t have fathomed what I’d become a decade later.

By 30, I lived in Indonesia as a research analyst at a stockbroker. I’d moved to Asia when I was 29, and had short work rotations in Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Singapore. If you’d told me when I was 20 what I’d be doing when I was 30, I’d have thought you crazy. Going from studying history and politics at university, to five years as a journalist at the ABC, and then crossing over into finance – nuts. And living in Indonesia to boot...

At 40 years of age, I lived in Sydney with a wife and child. I had started my own business, though was probably a bit lost after becoming disillusioned with the corporate world. While at 30 I was focused on succeeding in a finance career, making money, and travelling a lot, that had all turned on its head ten years later.

Turning to today and I am 48, with two kids, and back in the corporate world. I enjoy my work which combines writing and investing. I enjoy my life outside of work which primarily involves kids’ activities. Three months after I turned 40, my family bought a motel, which we still own. For health reasons, I turned vegan about seven years ago. Also, for health reasons, I took up meditation and it’s changing my life. My 40-year-old self would be scratching his head if you’d told him what I’d be like just eight years later.

Why do we change so much?

How do we become different people at different stages of life? Obviously, the ageing process has a lot to do with it. Our minds and bodies change. For instance, our ability to think abstractly and deal with complex information – called fluid intelligence – peaks at 20 years of age and declines each year after that. Yet, our decision making improves through to our 50s because of experience, and the wisdom that comes from that experience.

Of course, our bodies age too. We can’t physically do the things we did in our teens when reach the 40s, 50s, and 60s.

Our environment also shapes us - where we live and work, and who we socialize with. Often, we don’t realise how much our environment influences who we are.

Genetics also play a part. Interestingly, different genes can express themselves, or become dominant, at different points in our lives.

Neuroscientists are discovering new things about why we age. They’ve found that our brains change not just due to mechanical processes such as fluid intelligence, but also because what we focus on each day, and each moment, rewires the brain over time. For example, if you decide to learn a language, your brain will physically change over time and influence thinking and behaviour thereafter. Or, if you decide to re-learn an instrument that you played when you were younger, that will alter your brain circuitry. Put simply, what you focus on changes your brain and your future self.

Implications for life and money

If our priorities, values, and goals constantly shift as we age, it has significant implications for how we should live and think about money.

It’s drummed into us from a young age that we should set goals and make plans to achieve them. Later, we’re taught that financial planning and goal setting are vital to secure our futures. Yet, if our financial goals and plans change as we get older, not once but numerous times, then the pursuit of both is likely to disappoint.

That’s not to say that financial planning and goal setting are a waste of time. It’s that both should be lightly held, with an acknowledgement that adjustments will be needed along the way.

An alternative path is along the lines of what the latest neuroscience is suggesting above. If what we pay attention to now shapes our brains and future selves, then it may be best to focus on the thinking and habits that can build a better person and financial future. Put another way, how we spend today ultimately determines both our past and our future.

James Gruber

In this week's edition...

One reason that Australia’s retirement system consistently rates highly on international comparisons is that it's mandatory. Stephen Huppert thinks it doesn't make sense to have a compulsory retirement system that switches to voluntary at the point of retirement. As an alternative, he suggests a soft-default retirement product solution

Graham Hand and his wife, Deborah, have penned a piece, five months on from Graham's brain cancer diagnosis. Graham describes how his daily life has dramatically changed, yet he's trying to stay positive through arduous and ongoing medical treatments.

Innovate or die is the mantra of most larger companies these days, especially since the rise of AI. But how can we identify the really innovative companies that will thrive in the long term? Capital Group's Matt Reynolds has some suggestions on the best ways to go about it.

While Bitcoin and gold garner the world's attention, the bull market in uranium has received less coverage. The research team at Platinum Asset Management drill down into the supply-demand dynamics that's driven the steep rise in the uranium price, and why the price may stay higher for longer.

Speaking of gold, the yellow metal is enjoying a nice time of it, even in the face of a strong US dollar. Juan Carlos Artigas explains what's behind gold's recent run, and the key things that will determine whether the rally is sustainable or not.

Fidelity's Maroun Younes ventures back in time to look at how past market leaders have subsequently performed. The short answer is: not particularly well. He says given that history is against the Magnificent Seven continuing to deliver market-beating returns, investors should look to diversify into other areas of the market.

From virtual assistants and transportation to eCommerce and even healthcare, AI is continuing to expand its applications. Adrian Lu from Magellan says it's vital that investors understand the the new technology, and the opportunities and risks that it brings.

Two extra articles from Morningstar for the weekend. Mark LaMonica details lessons from the top performing ASX share, while Mathew Hodge reveals a new ASX company that's joined Morningstar's best ideas list.

Lastly, in this week's whitepaper, Capital Group believes that healthcare stocks present a wealth of opportunity as we enter a ‘golden era’ of industry innovation.

***  

Weekend market update

On Friday in the US, another strong payrolls report helped the bulls shake off yesterday’s late hiccup, as the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 rose 1% and 1.2%, respectively, to each settle lower by about 1% for the week. Treasury yields backed up across the curve with the 2-year note climbing eight basis points to 4.73% and the long bond closing at 4.54% from 4.47%. WTI crude tested US$87 before retreating a bit, gold snapped back to another closing high at US$2,324 per ounce and the VIX ended only modestly lower, finishing at 16. 

From AAP Netdesk:

The Australian share market on Friday finished lower with each of the ASX's 11 sectors either flat or losing ground.

The benchmark S&P/ASX200 index on Friday finished down 44 points, or 0.6%, to 7,773. The broader All Ordinaries fell 46.5 points, or 0.6%, to 8,026. For the week, the ASX200 dropped 1.6% after reaching an all-time high on Easter Thursday.

The energy sector was basically flat, still benefiting from the boost to oil prices. Woodside finished up 0.2%, Santos rose 0.6%, Ampol 0.9% and Viva 1.3% while Beach Energy fell 1.3%.

Real estate was down only 0.1%, likely buoyed by the US Federal Reserve's promise to cut interest rates later this year.

The materials sector ended 0.8% lower. Industry leader BHP was down 0.9%, Rio Tinto fell by 1% and Fortescue by 0.7%. However, gold miners have continued to do well. Northern Star rose by 0.5%, Newmont was up 0.1%, and Evolution Mining rose 2.4%.

The Big Four banks were mixed, with Westpac and ANZ finishing flat, NAB dropping 0.1% and CBA falling 0.3%.

The financial sector as a whole was down 0.4%.

In small caps, Vitura Health rose 3% to 17 cents after announcing its joint venture Cortexa would begin manufacturing MDMA for clinical use, making it the first Australian company to produce the drug.

Curated by James Gruber and Leisa Bell

Latest updates

PDF version of Firstlinks Newsletter

ASX Listed Bond and Hybrid rate sheet from NAB/nabtrade

Listed Investment Company (LIC) Indicative NTA Report from Bell Potter

Plus updates and announcements on the Sponsor Noticeboard on our website

 

5 Comments
Paul Humphrys
April 11, 2024

At 10 my parents had told me they couldn't afford for me to play tennis. At 20, no one in my family valued or had been to uni so I got a trade and proceeded to receive an annual pay as a fully fledged tradeseman qualifying me for a low income rebate at tax time.

I find it hard reading about another's early successes when mine was so stunted. It wasn't until my 30s and more fully my mid 40s that I realised I was following in my family's footsteps of financial and career underperformance. So I got to doing something about it, albeit from a low base. I do get resentful at times when I hear someone get so much support from a young age in to sport and education, which can be so important to a good start in life.

James you have no doubt extended on these early successes through your own grit and drive.

I'm 53, have 500k in super, renting after recently separating, have 17k in cash and I earn 98k per year. I won't be getting an inheritance of any significance. I'd like to be financially better off but I have to remind myself I'm doing okay from where I started.

James I hope you understand how your early privelege has been so very beneficial, just as my upbringing has given me a privelege compared to others less fortunate than me.

Paul

Tony Dillon
April 08, 2024

Interesting James.

Recently I received an invite to a 40 year football premiership reunion, and having lived interstate almost entirely since, I haven’t seen nor heard from nearly all of those teammates in that time. It will be fascinating. Chatting about it to my wife, I said I felt like I’d lived a couple of lifetimes since then, given that so much had happened and changed in my life since those days. In fact, having recently turned 60, I realised I had actually been on the planet twice as long as my age at that point in 1984. So there you go.

Justin
April 05, 2024

Something like... Humans being...or Humans doing !
You are certainly having a good run at it

Anna
April 05, 2024

Thank you for sharing your life experience. Agree totally and that’s why it’s called LIFE.

We can make plans but LIFE happens and aging and change is inevitable.

It’s true your mind rules your body and hence keep your mind surrounded by the right people and well wishers to keep on going the right track.

Much too often we get the inquisitive waysiders pulling you down stay clear of these people and nothing will go wrong with you.

Abel
April 04, 2024

"That’s not to say that financial planning and goal setting are a waste of time. It’s that both should be lightly held, with an acknowledgement that adjustments will be needed along the way."

Yes, make plans but be prepared for changes outside your control and changes because your values or objectives change. Having enough funds will always help even with changing goals, so having a plan and the discipline to save will help you. Being aware that your goals or outlook might change is important, so your plans allow for flexibility, even if it means forgoing maximising returns.

 

Leave a Comment:

banner

Most viewed in recent weeks

Vale Graham Hand

It’s with heavy hearts that we announce Firstlinks’ co-founder and former Managing Editor, Graham Hand, has died aged 66. Graham was a legendary figure in the finance industry and here are three tributes to him.

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, one year on

Last year, I wrote an article suggesting returns from ASX stocks would trample those from housing over the next decade. One year later, this is an update on how that forecast is going and what's changed since.

Taxpayers betrayed by Future Fund debacle

The Future Fund's original purpose was to meet the unfunded liabilities of Commonwealth defined benefit schemes. These liabilities have ballooned to an estimated $290 billion and taxpayers continue to be treated like fools.

Australia’s shameful super gap

ASFA provides a key guide for how much you will need to live on in retirement. Unfortunately it has many deficiencies, and the averages don't tell the full story of the growing gender superannuation gap.

Looking beyond banks for dividend income

The Big Four banks have had an extraordinary run and it’s left income investors with a conundrum: to stick with them even though they now offer relatively low dividend yields and limited growth prospects or to look elsewhere.

AFIC on its record discount, passive investing and pricey stocks

A triple headwind has seen Australia's biggest LIC swing to a 10% discount and scuppered its relative performance. Management was bullish in an interview with Firstlinks, but is the discount ever likely to close?

Latest Updates

Investment strategies

9 lessons from 2024

Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.

Investment strategies

Time to announce the X-factor for 2024

What is the X-factor - the largely unexpected influence that wasn’t thought about when the year began but came from left field to have powerful effects on investment returns - for 2024? It's time to select the winner.

Shares

Australian shares struggle as 2020s reach halfway point

It’s halfway through the 2020s decade and time to get a scorecheck on the Australian stock market. The picture isn't pretty as Aussie shares are having a below-average decade so far, though history shows that all is not lost.

Shares

Is FOMO overruling investment basics?

Four years ago, we introduced our 'bubbles' chart to show how the market had become concentrated in one type of stock and one view of the future. This looks at what, if anything, has changed, and what it means for investors.

Shares

Is Medibank Private a bargain?

Regulatory tensions have weighed on Medibank's share price though it's unlikely that the government will step in and prop up private hospitals. This creates an opportunity to invest in Australia’s largest health insurer.

Shares

Negative correlations, positive allocations

A nascent theme today is that the inverse correlation between bonds and stocks has returned as inflation and economic growth moderate. This broadens the potential for risk-adjusted returns in multi-asset portfolios.

Retirement

The secret to a good retirement

An Australian anthropologist studying Japanese seniors has come to a counter-intuitive conclusion to what makes for a great retirement: she suggests the seeds may be found in how we approach our working years.

Sponsors

Alliances

© 2024 Morningstar, Inc. All rights reserved.

Disclaimer
The data, research and opinions provided here are for information purposes; are not an offer to buy or sell a security; and are not warranted to be correct, complete or accurate. Morningstar, its affiliates, and third-party content providers are not responsible for any investment decisions, damages or losses resulting from, or related to, the data and analyses or their use. To the extent any content is general advice, it has been prepared for clients of Morningstar Australasia Pty Ltd (ABN: 95 090 665 544, AFSL: 240892), without reference to your financial objectives, situation or needs. For more information refer to our Financial Services Guide. You should consider the advice in light of these matters and if applicable, the relevant Product Disclosure Statement before making any decision to invest. Past performance does not necessarily indicate a financial product’s future performance. To obtain advice tailored to your situation, contact a professional financial adviser. Articles are current as at date of publication.
This website contains information and opinions provided by third parties. Inclusion of this information does not necessarily represent Morningstar’s positions, strategies or opinions and should not be considered an endorsement by Morningstar.