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Edition: 492

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Welcome to Firstlinks Edition 492 with weekend update

  • 19 January 2023
  • 6

The beginning of the year and the end of a sabbatical is an ideal time to review a retirement portfolio, and it's a highly personal exercise. Jack Bogle of Vanguard explains his own view on how much is 'enough', and we should stop complaining about investment performance in 2022. 

My SMSF in 2022: the good, the bad and the lucky

Stop whinging! Analysts are describing markets in 2022 as 'brutal' or 'terrible', but total returns in Australian stock markets were up and balanced funds were down only slightly. It was not that bad.

Chris Joye on why stocks and property are set for a poor year

Most asset classes haven't fully adjusted to the sharp interest rate rises. Prices of stocks, housing and commercial property need to fall for them to provide attractive yields compared with risk-free government bonds.

Population and ageing nonsense … again

Fearmongering about Australia’s ageing population has ramped up again recently. If you want a big Australia, then make your argument for it, but don’t pretend that the age structure of the population is the reason why.

Pub property: a parma, a pint and a profit

There is much written about office, industrial, and retail property, but specialised REITs are starting to get more attention from investors. Here's a look at one, potentially lucrative, niche property segment: pubs.

Magellan on LIC discounts and fund changes

The majority of Listed Investment Companies trade at a discount to the value of their underlying assets, which may be good for buyers but annoying for sellers. Managers struggle to remove the discount, as explained on ASX:MGF.

3 investment themes for 2023

It's doubtful 2023 will return to the speculative nature of 2020-2021 markets. Rather, investors will gravitate toward newer themes, such as non-US markets and real assets, including energy and infrastructure.

Markets appear too optimistic on central bank pivot

Central banks and markets disagree on how high and for how long interest rates will remain elevated. US stocks may not have bottomed, though bonds should have a better year as markets sweat on a Federal Reserve pivot.

Most viewed in recent weeks

Australian stocks will crush housing over the next decade, one year on

Last year, I wrote an article suggesting returns from ASX stocks would trample those from housing over the next decade. One year later, this is an update on how that forecast is going and what's changed since.

What to expect from the Australian property market in 2025

The housing market was subdued in 2024, and pessimism abounds as we start the new year. 2025 is likely to be a tale of two halves, with interest rate cuts fuelling a resurgence in buyer demand in the second half of the year.

Howard Marks warns of market froth

The renowned investor has penned his first investor letter for 2025 and it’s a ripper. He runs through what bubbles are, which ones he’s experienced, and whether today’s markets qualify as the third major bubble of this century.

The perfect portfolio for the next decade

This examines the performance of key asset classes and sub-sectors in 2024 and over longer timeframes, and the lessons that can be drawn for constructing an investment portfolio for the next decade.

9 lessons from 2024

Key lessons include expensive stocks can always get more expensive, Bitcoin is our tulip mania, follow the smart money, the young are coming with pitchforks on housing, and the importance of staying invested.

The 20 most popular articles of 2024

Check out the most-read Firstlinks articles from 2024. From '16 ASX stocks to buy and hold forever', to 'The best strategy to build income for life', and 'Where baby boomer wealth will end up', there's something for all.

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